Numerous studies have econometrically analyzed the dairy sector and effects of alternative dairy policies. While many of these studies have included dynamic aspects, often strict a priori assumptions ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract An expression for the likelihood function of a stationary vector autoregressive-moving average process is developed. The expression is very ...

After computing the sample autocovariance matrices, PROC STATESPACE fits a sequence of vector autoregressive models. These preliminary autoregressive models are used to estimate the autoregressive ...

Disclaimer: This Working Paper should not be reported as representing the views of the IMF.The views expressed in this Working Paper are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily represent those ...

Using the generalized value-at-risk method of Diebold and Yilmaz in their 2009 paper "Measuring financial asset return and volatility spillovers, with application to global equity markets" to measure ...

Every time a language model like GPT-4, Claude or Mistral generates a sentence, it does something deceptively simple: It picks one word at a time. This word-by-word approach is what gives ...

Abstract: This paper examines the sustainability of fiscal policy under uncertainty in three emerging market countries—Brazil, Mexico, and Turkey. For each country, we estimate a vector autoregression ...